Well, when you scorch enough earth, the only way to dig is down.
But even if he passed the 50/50: what is he doing? Trying to drown a fish in water? Part of this started because the friend was teasing MC and she went so far as to pretend to date you and visit you in school.
Also she's like 5 years older than you and you're a minor. That weak ass plan wouldn't work.
I will also keep this for future meme-age: