Asirpa said theres no signs of the bears having left their dens so the panning group is probably lying. Theyre most likely responsible for all the deaths attributed to the bear. They probably killed some ainu who were hunting bears in the area at some point too, stole that tobacco case and now heita is going round wearing one of their bear skins mentioned in previous chapters.There's supposed to be a bear, why is anybody going out of eyeshot of the group panning for gold?