Umineko no Naku Koro ni Shi - Forgery of the Purple Logic - Vol. 2 Ch. 10
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hmmmmmmmmmm
musings/deductions under the spoiler
Not totally satisfied with this explanation so I'll keep thinking about it later.
musings/deductions under the spoiler
So as far as I can see, every victim has had their death confirmed upon discovery by either Battler or Erika in purple--except for Jessica, whose death was stated in purple by Nanjo upon discovery. Nanjo also could have lied about sealing the warehouse, which allows Jessica to be the culprit for the murders of Rudolf, Kyrie, and Battler (since everyone else has solid alibis). Then, Nanjo could have killed Jessica and put her back in the warehouse, making her the "one person" that he killed.
If we take "the warehouse was a locked room until they reopened it in the morning" as fact (stated several times in purple), then the only one who could have killed Natsuhi is Jessica, which almost makes sense except for Battler's purple statement that "they didn't kill each other". It's possible the wording only prevents "Natsuhi killing Jessica AND Jessica killing Natsuhi" and doesn't prevent "Jessica killing Natsuhi ONLY", in which case this could still make sense?
Jessica had an alibi for the first murder, and the first and second murders have the same culprit, so I suppose it could be, say, Eva or Natsuhi who committed both murders, since neither of them had alibis. I don't think there were any tricks involved here, so it's not too interesting.
If we take "the warehouse was a locked room until they reopened it in the morning" as fact (stated several times in purple), then the only one who could have killed Natsuhi is Jessica, which almost makes sense except for Battler's purple statement that "they didn't kill each other". It's possible the wording only prevents "Natsuhi killing Jessica AND Jessica killing Natsuhi" and doesn't prevent "Jessica killing Natsuhi ONLY", in which case this could still make sense?
Jessica had an alibi for the first murder, and the first and second murders have the same culprit, so I suppose it could be, say, Eva or Natsuhi who committed both murders, since neither of them had alibis. I don't think there were any tricks involved here, so it's not too interesting.
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here's a completely unrelated observation
In chapter 6 page 23 Maria says she "went further inside the warehouse but no one was there", but it's interesting that this wasn't a purple statement. It's entirely possible Maria was lying here and there was some additional person hiding in the warehouse, which could be the trick that resolves the purple statement that the warehouse remained a locked room overnight. i.e. mysterious person X was already hiding in the warehouse before they locked Natsuhi and Jessica in, then person X killed Natsuhi and Jessica without breaking the locked room. (Note that there was a moment in an earlier chapter where they were like "if it's not stated in red or purple, it's worthless" which could be hinting at Maria's lie.) As mentioned in my earlier post, Nanjo must have lied about sealing the warehouse afterwards, which means person X could have easily left and killed Rudolf, Kyrie, and Battler afterwards.
Of course, the problem with this is that there are no viable suspects for person X, since everyone alive is obviously accounted for and everyone dead was cleared by Erika's purple statements, and the red truth stated that Erika was not a culprit. If there's someone I would want to pick for person X, it would be Shannon (who would then naturally be the 7th woman in the study for the first murder). The biggest contradiction is that it's stated in the red truth that Shannon is off the island, unless there's a specific wording in the Japanese that could allow for a loophole. Obviously there are relevant details from the main story that expose some holes in this theory, but I won't get into those.
Of course, the problem with this is that there are no viable suspects for person X, since everyone alive is obviously accounted for and everyone dead was cleared by Erika's purple statements, and the red truth stated that Erika was not a culprit. If there's someone I would want to pick for person X, it would be Shannon (who would then naturally be the 7th woman in the study for the first murder). The biggest contradiction is that it's stated in the red truth that Shannon is off the island, unless there's a specific wording in the Japanese that could allow for a loophole. Obviously there are relevant details from the main story that expose some holes in this theory, but I won't get into those.
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