@Tikibo as a single dad? extremely low, but higher than his chances of adopting her right now which is more lie kidnapping her, and It is also better than letting her living with that woman, at an orphanage she will at least have something to eat, and that's already a huge improvement.
So the loan shark wants the girl, the mother doesn't want to girl, and the kid wants to stay with mommy...oh boy is she going to regret not going with the big daddy.
But I have a feeling he'd keep some connections watching her anyways...