The Exiled Heavy Knight Knows How to Game the System - Vol. 13 Ch. 110

[kingthe13]

me with 10 luck in new Vegas iv gotten kicked out of all the casinos

 

[Renan_Walheim]

Clussy too op nerf pl0x

 

[Ryoga21]

I cannot say how happy I am that the gambling storyline only lasted 1 chapter.

 

[lesseffective]

Luce kept flipping because her sense of money has been warped by her time with Elma. 10, 20, 40, even 80 million is chump change to her now

Is it cheating if their world works through rpg stat logic? I mean it's a natural thing in their world right?

Food for thought?

Tbf, the odds to get 4 in a row is small, but looking at it from the perspective of singular draws (because that’s what she did), the odds to get an ace in each draw is not as small.

If anything the probability of rare item drops is probably smaller than getting an ace in a single draw.

Edit:
Mathematically, assuming the cards they use is what we know:
There are 52 cards, 6 has been used so 46 left in deck.
Luce’s first draw would be 4/46 to get an ace.
Second draw would be 3/45
3rd would be 2/44
4th would be 1/43

The combined odds for 4 cards in a row would be: 4/46 * 3/45 * 2/44 * 1/43 = 0.0061%
Now this is quite small.

However, her worst odds for a single draw in order to get an ace is only 1/43 = 2.32%
This isn’t that far from a rare drop in some games, even some gatcha games probably has worse probabilities.

the reason she didnt win the triple with aces was just because the luck stat knew the aces would come back later

I rest my case

Well her luck ability increases drop chances by x5 so the chances of pulling the last card were like 11.2%

Double-check the last page too -- five Aces.

 

[yukichigai]

And this is why Luck builds are OP after a certain point.

10 LCK + Jinxed is still one of the funniest yet effective builds in Fallout

 

[Darkshade13]

I appreciate that Luce got the win legitimately and didn't need to be bailed out. I was worried that would be what'd end up happening.

But this was still... kinda meh. This author has a thing about trying to make fairly benign stuff seem SUPER EXCITING AND DRAMATIC and it not working that well. Last time it was tense negotiations and information exchange with that vampire-looking noble guy. Now it's a casino where the entirety of the game they play is just "draw a card to win." with no actual skill involved except Luce's ungodly high luck stat.

I still like the story mostly, it's just in those moments that things stumble a bit.

 

[vannn]

I expected high level flim flamming, but then Luce just goes “Nah, I’d win”.

 

[Seinvolf]

Thank u always for ur great work...
^^...

 

[JDSquare13]

Clussy just built better

 

[SlingToken]

Lol. Yahzee on the first turn

 

[Grye]

luck is but destiny for the chosen few

 

[Scrabbleman]

I just realised how rare it is to have clown girls in media, so I love Luce for it.

 

[Salfaro]

Having this "arc" end with no shady gambling tricks/etc and just being Luce absolutely stomping is pretty great.

Feels like when a DM sets up a big encounter and someone cheeses it with one interaction.

 

[popinloopy]

Of course, Celt. Luce is best girl, after all. Was there ever any doubt?

 

[Crystalball]

A really skillful card cheat would put those aces exactly where they want in the deck. Skill beats luck every time.

 

[Swift]

Double-check the last page too -- five Aces.

I actually count 10 aces in that last page. I immediately skimmed the comments to see if anyone else noticed.

 

[Ultimatecalibur]

Double-check the last page too -- five Aces.

Look again. There are 8 in the upper right frame.

 

[Screenwatch]

Ikr. It’s hard to test, but I would imagine it’s a modifier for every RNG based event, hence singular draws actually got affected by this strongly because it comes into play at every draw (assuming it is truly random).

When you think about it though, should luck even impact card draw? The deck was already shuffled so the cards are already in a very specific order. It’s not like her luck stats changed the order of the cards in the deck because the order of the card in the deck is predetermined once the card is shuffled. Like if you have a 52 card deck, the odds of flipping an ace of spades is 1/52. But in reality, the card is definitely a specific card on the top of the deck so there isn’t really any way luck would change that. Unless luck stat is cosmically changing the card on the top of the deck, it doesn’t matter who draws the card because there is a definite non-changing card on top of the deck.

Tl:dr luck stats make no sense when you apply it to real life.

 

[lesseffective]

I actually count 10 aces in that last page. I immediately skimmed the comments to see if anyone else noticed.

Look again. There are 8 in the upper right frame.

So the combination of the cheater's deck (artificially higher probabilities to have a mark draw successive Aces), added with Luce's monstrous luck likely willing them all to the top of the deck for her to draw.

 

[Ultimatecalibur]

When you think about it though, should luck even impact card draw? The deck was already shuffled so the cards are already in a very specific order. It’s not like her luck stats changed the order of the cards in the deck because the order of the card in the deck is predetermined once the card is shuffled. Like if you have a 52 card deck, the odds of flipping an ace of spades is 1/52. But in reality, the card is definitely a specific card on the top of the deck so there isn’t really any way luck would change that. Unless luck stat is cosmically changing the card on the top of the deck, it doesn’t matter who draws the card because there is a definite non-changing card on top of the deck.

Tl:dr luck stats make no sense when you apply it to real life.

Think about it more as the next draw has quantum uncertainty until "viewed" like most classic video game rpgs and Luck stat checks influence the uncertainty of unviewed cards. The dealer trick shuffled to force the deck to be 10/5/10/5/10 with a dex check but didn't realize that Luce's luck is so high that she can regularly pass crazy luck checks without trying.