@BestBoy
That would just be the fault of imprecise diction because that's because it's hard to make definitive statements with statistics, because they primarily effect outcomes. Saying "it appears to be" or "it seems to be" is necessary in the field because it's an imprecise albeit necessary science to determine how likely things are to occur by chance. It's not a random guess, but it's based on figures and probabilities as all stats are.
Also I think his point is because most polling is done in major cities and towns, more rural areas or isolated ones that lean republican tend to vote more conservative, hence why they have to "travel further."
As for the article, I'd argue that it hits most of the marks. But again, these are indicators, not concrete statements
-We know that the media has been reporting that this election would have unusually high voter turn outs. I still have to see the statistics for each county, but statewide, they are absurdly high for what is typical for an election, to the point where it might be suspect, being well over double the amount typical for voter turnout historically in the US
-Too many votes is tied to the previous question because in the US usually only goes to about 50-60% of the voting age population. Given we were about ~20% over that, I'd say that we're well above standard deviation at this point and suscipiously so. Could the US be more engaged now because of the political enviroment? Potentially, but that would mean we'd be as engaged now as we were during Vietnam, which I find unlikely
-A high turnout in specific areas. Yes, based on what I have seen for the sats
-Large number of invalid votes
We'll have to see for this one because I am unsure how many were thrown out or disqualified or how many should have been and weren't
-More votes than ballot papers issues
Unknown, but I think this theory has been debunked for this election
-Results don't match
I think this has been pretty much one of the main cruxes of what's being argued with the situation we're seeing, because there was such a clear disparity in both the votes for the two up until about 3-4AM where all the voting just suddenly stopped and then everything flipped despite being at 94% reporting or more. It definitely made a lot of people become more skeptical about the process and what could have happened.
-Delay in counting results
We still don't have the results. Is COVID tied to the reason? Yes, but that doesn't discredit the possibility of fraud itself, so we're back to square one.
I think this explains my rationale
And nothing circumstantial piece of evidence that makes me suspect something is afoot is that all of the Bellwether counties. It's not definitive proof, but it certainly indicates something may be off given how it is yet anomaly on the pile of anomalies.
This also tied with the fact the Democrats did not do as well in the senate and the house is also a red flag because it seems weird that if the people wanted democrats in charge, they would have voted for them en masse, yet we have a situation where both the house and the senate are slowly shifting more Republican and where the Democrats lost seats, which is strange.
Not completely proving fraud, but it does make the situation very bizarre if nothing else
@Halo
That still doesn't eliminate the possibility of voter fraud, nor does it explain how the results were anomalous.
Again, the link only needs to be accurate in its data and its statistical analysis of said data. If that is correct, anything else stated in the article is secondary or even tertiary.
The fact absentee ballots favor Biden almost exclusively is suspect when compared to the other results of the nation. People often say that the reason is that Trump warned that the postal system is potentially easy in terms of committing voter fraud. The issue I have is that it's a very post hoc rationalization and it doesn't delegitmize the possibility of voter fraud, especially since I'd be willing to bet that most Americans were not aware of Trump's tweet on the subject nor the selective clips he's had, which is beared out through other studies that showed that trump's numbers in terms of postal voters were lower, but not by an overwhelming degree, of the votes via mail for Biden.
The processing of these votes may not have been inaccurate in themselves but if other efforts to commit electoral fraud.
(Also I never said any of these links were faultless, but that they raised concerns that needed to be addressed.)
